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  By Mark McNaught

Several weeks ago, Scottish Secretary Michael Moore confessed before the House of Lords that the government was making no contingency plans in the case of Scottish independence.

The Ministry of Defence recently stated that it was making no plans to relocate the Trident submarine from Faslane, seeing no need because they believe Scotland would never vote to leave the UK.

David Cameron confused the ‘Yes’ campaign with the ‘Better Together’ campaign, and finally settled on the ‘Alistair Darling’ campaign. Or whatever.

This highlights several possible unappealing characteristics of the Scottish independence debate:

The Westminster government is engaging in severe malfeasance in not preparing for the dissolution of the UK, which could have disastrous consequences.

Westminster is so convinced that life is so wonderful throughout the UK that no country could possible vote to leave. 

Westminster and Whitehall are secretly making contingency plans for Scottish independence, but will not reveal them because they might show its feasibility and ultimate benefit for Scotland.

Cameron wants to keep Scotland in the UK, but is too lazy to learn the basics of the debate so he even sounds like he knows what he’s talking about. 

Finally, a disconcerting combination of all the above.

Although Anas Sarwar has promised to make a positive case for Scotland remaining in the UK, and is presumably sincere in his desire, within the ‘better together’ campaign he is up against the grizzled inveterate warlock of Westminster imperial arrogance.

It was less than 100 years ago that the UK controlled some 25% of the Earth’s territory, and 20% of the world population.  The doctrine of British Parliamentary supremacy held that there were no higher temporal powers on earth, and that Parliament could bestow and revoke power while maintaining undivided sovereignty.

It is therefore perhaps unsurprising, though nonetheless disappointing, that the Westminster government may not have within its DNA to have an honest, non-condescending, fully informed debate.

To do so would finally bury the myths of the British Empire.  The colonies are better off and ‘stronger’ under a UK imperial embrace. Love of the Crown and loyalty to Parliament are so strong that no UK member could possibly vote to leave.  A benevolent paternalistic Westminster will invariably care better for their colonies than they possibly could on their own.

These beliefs are on life support, but they not dead yet.

That is why it may not be realistic to expect anything other than uninformed and/or mendacious bellicose rhetoric emanating from Westminster regarding the independence debate.  Would we have not heard some positive arguments already if they exist?

From the unionist side, debate thus far has had a ‘Wizard of Oz’ quality to it.  Lots of fire and brimstone, but once the curtain is pulled back, we see that their threats have no foundation. 

The ‘facts’ that are used to argue against independence are often fantasy.  Does some think tank actually expect Scots to believe that they will be financially worse off if they have control over all their oil revenue? 

The UK imperial mindset being in its last throes, I don’t expect there to be much of a positive debate coming from the UK government or the once-respectable mainstream Scottish papers.

Scots should gird for 19 months of ruthless negativity coming from the unionist side. Maybe they will begin a positive campaign, and it would be most welcome, but would be folly to expect, especially as Scots become increasingly convinced of the benefits and opportunities of independence.

Despite the frequently dire tone, this long debate will give Scots the time and space to separate the wheat from the chaff, to let the scare stories fly then get shot down by concerned citizens and the vigilant press, making for an informed debate.

The truth will float and the lies will sink.  Maybe, just maybe, Scottish independence will in turn oblige the newly constituted UK to adopt a governing attitude commensurate with its actual status, rather than running off the imperial fumes of the past.


Mark McNaught is a member of the Constitutional Commission, and Associate Professor of US civilisation at the University of Rennes 2 France, and teaches US constitutional law at Sciences-Po Paris.

Comments  

 
# Jo Bloggs 2013-01-11 10:09
"..... to let the scare stories fly then get shot down by concerned citizens and the vigilant press, making for an informed debate."

That's a large part of the problem, Mark: what vigilant press?
 
 
# Arraniki 2013-01-11 11:35
This is a fine piece of analysis by Mark McNaught and worthy of wider distribution.

Aptly titled, it summarises the anguished, fevered and panic-stricken attempts by the once dominant imperial power, assuredly staring defeat in the face, to retain control of its disobliging "internal colony".

Despite the frequently dire tone, this long debate will give Scots the time and space to separate the wheat from the chaff, to let the scare stories fly then get shot down by concerned citizens and the vigilant press, making for an informed debate.

The truth will float and the lies will sink. Maybe, just maybe, Scottish independence will in turn oblige the newly constituted UK to adopt a governing attitude commensurate with its actual status, rather than running off the imperial fumes of the past.





Excellent stuff, Mark.
 
 
# Christian_Wright 2013-01-11 12:58
Mark McNaught writes ". . this long debate will give Scots the time . . to let the scare stories . . get shot down by . . the vigilant press, making for an informed debate."

The emphasis is mine. The singular threat to Scotland attaining independence is the combined power of a hostile press and broadcasting media.

One cannot expect the press to be vigilant in exposing Unionist lies and promoting Nationalist truths. It aint gonna happen.

Mark tells us " The truth will float and the lies will sink."

No, they wont, because the liars own the megaphone and the electorate seldom get to hear the truth.

We need to eschew magical thinking and embrace the reality of who the enemy really is.

Put succinctly, "It's the media, stupid" and in particular the BBC whose ability to shape opinion lies in the fact that it is yet perceived as an honest broker and bringer of truth.
 
 
# bunter 2013-01-11 22:42
I still cant believe that the BBCs coverage of the independence debate consists of looking at the morning headlines in the unionist printed media, and replicating whatever scare story fits the bill for their daily news bulletin and websites.
This is a multibillion news gathering empire with enough resources for original investigative journalism but what we get is regurgitated Daily Record et al!
 
 
# Edzell Blue 2013-01-12 00:16
This story shows how “honest” the bbc are. It shows two different reporting’s of the November Production figures released today.

The bbc reports:
“The index of production grew 0.3% in November, compared with October, but had been expected to grow more as some North Sea oil and gas production resumed following maintenance.”
The full bbc report is at: bbc.co.uk/.../...

Yahoo reports:
“The rise in November was largely due to an 11.3 percent jump in oil and gas output that was the biggest since 1968, after maintenance of the Buzzard North Sea field was completed.”
The Yahoo report is at : uk.finance.yahoo.com/.../...

Although the bbc report is accurate it implies that the low growth in November was due in some part to lower NS oil and Gas production when it was actually the opposite.
 
 
# bagonails 2013-01-11 13:31
The British Empire.
At the height of the British Empire most of the people in the British isles were living in abject poverty, there was nothing great about Britain unless of course you were on the receiving end of the money flowing into these islands. British so called rulers have never been able to manage financially without stealing the resources of other countries whether human or natural.
 
 
# red kite 2013-01-11 13:46
And if you believe that London is doing nothing about contingency planning, then boy do I have a timeshare and some other deals for you !
Good analysis Mark, and some very apt comments.
Spot on is : "the liars own the megaphone".
 
 
# call me dave 2013-01-11 17:09
I'm with you on this one.

I'll bet there are a number of scenarios that have indicated that the remaining rUK is a dead duck without the assets in Scotland to put in the communal pot.

This cannot be allowed to happen and there will be a dedicated black ops team working away with more scare stories and misinformation to divert people from voting YES.

Meanwhile the present strategy of smearing AS will continue in the hope that something will oust him from the leadership,and hey! You never know!

Meanwhile Roll on 2014.

PS:
I see there is a programme called Scottish Passport coming on BBC Scotland.
I said in company, while watching the advert, that "I wished I had one"!

Two folk in the group said "So do I"

Well that's two more that I didn't suspect of being in the yes camp.

@:)
 
 
# Jim Johnston 2013-01-14 13:15
Correct red kite.
The Westminster mandarin is like all duck species, serene above surface and paddling like hell bellow surface. Pun intended.
 
 
# weegie38 2013-01-11 14:45
Quote:
To do so would finally bury the myths of the British Empire. The colonies are better off and ‘stronger’ under a UK imperial embrace.

The most obvious evidence to rubbish the myth of Empire is transparently visible across the globe. Within the former British Empire, there is not a single significant movement to transfer power back to Westminster. Australia, India, Canada, Ireland...it's a long list. Even with countries ran by nutters like Zimbabwe, you don't hear the opposition movements clamouring for Westminster to step in.
 
 
# Caadfael 2013-01-14 13:36
Think a moment on this, Ghandi said "Withholding payment of taxes is one of the quickest methods of overthrowing a government", just as Amazon, Starbucks, Vodafone etc are doing RIGHT NOW and that fool Camoron instead of moving heaven and earth to close all the tax avoidance loopholes, is targeting the most impoverished, those least able to pay!!
NICE ONE DAVE AND GIDEON!!
 

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